In this market, nobody can check anyone.
So every pick gets published before kickoff with a SHA-256 hash, and every pick gets graded after — wins, losses, and the ones the board said to skip.
Tick or untick anything below. Every character of the fingerprint changes. That fingerprint is what gets published before kickoff — so the list cannot be edited afterwards without it showing.
Example lines — not this week's picks
The real one is read aloud on camera before kickoff. A video cannot be edited after it is uploaded, so the picks cannot be quietly rewritten afterwards.
Thursday morning, in your inbox — before the video, before it is public. Week 1 it comes Wednesday, because the season opens on one.
Free. No account, no app, nothing to install.
Opens the signup page. Double opt-in, so watch for the confirmation email.
What arrives, and when
Week 1 only — the sheet, before the Wednesday opener. The season starts on a Wednesday this year. After that it moves.
Every week after — the sheet and the hash, before the first kickoff. Best bets, worth-a-looks, and the model's number against the market's.
The grading. Every pick from the week, settled. Including the losses, and what is being changed because of them.
This might not work. The picks are free because there is no track record yet — that is the entire point of publishing them where they can be checked.
It only ever becomes paid if a hundred graded best bets finish in the black and the calibration clears zero. It might never get there. A model built on public numbers has already been tested against a full baseball season and failed to beat the market — that result is published too.
If it does get there, you will have watched it happen in public, week by week, with the losses in plain sight.
Early access is free while there is nothing worth selling. If the gates ever open, getting the sheet early is what moves behind the paywall — that is written here now so it is not a surprise later.
THE RECEIPTS
The hash for each week is posted before the first kickoff. The sheet it describes is below. If a single character of a sheet had been changed afterwards, its fingerprint would not match the one that was already public.
| Week | Sent | File | SHA-256 of that file |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 9 | sheet .txt | 63666b2b998141dd23a53f3d07c5df65c431fb91a9f774b7065c6f8b8ee4d72a |
| 2 | Sep 17 | sheet .txt | d02d40f4df9ae944100793b65eefb59362dd1ca0ebae63c123a0bf1599e62967 |
| 3 | Sep 24 | sheet .txt | 828c9ecfac05dfbeebb1e6df2b63c781385b2e7c2c5f20c9de661a2fe897fe2e |
| 4 | Oct 1 | sheet .txt | 299b3e82efe3cd9bfb0d94d2dc8404780974cd266e44bc349598961c86f3b8f1 |
⚠ Week 1 was graded wrong — read the correction
Don't take our word for it. Download a sheet and run one line:
Windows certutil -hashfile paper-trail-week-04-2026-10-01.txt SHA256
Mac / Linux shasum -a 256 paper-trail-week-04-2026-10-01.txt
It should match the row above, character for character.